• dumbass@leminal.space
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      8 天前

      It’s 1:4 but everytime the card is played a new set of 1:4 starts, so fuck knows what the actual odds are.

      • brsrklf@jlai.lu
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        8 天前

        Humans are bad at probability, and that’s mostly why they gamble too.

        Every wheel draw is supposed to be independent (it’s not totally so because computer “random” is really a pseudo-random algorithm, but close enough). So every time you draw, the odds are 1:4. Previous draws don’t matter.

        On an infinitely large number of draws, you’d see a 1/4 success rate. This doesn’t mean you can’t fail a dozen times in a row (the probability of that is (3/4)^12, about 3%… It happens).

      • null@slrpnk.net
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        7 天前

        It’s 1:4 but everytime the card is played a new set of 1:4 starts

        Of course it does, or the odds wouldn’t be 1 in 4…

        If you flip a coin, you “start” a new set of 1 in 2 odds too – that’s what makes it always 50/50