No, not watt diagram

is basically right next to the number 1 on the number line that goes to infinity.

you probably meant to say 1 in (…) is right next to zero, but it is not, there is infinite number of numbers between them 😀

The chance (…) is infinitesimally small

yes, it is, but it is not zero, which is what i tried to relay. it may be just fun fact, but one day that knowledge may prove itself useful.

You winning every possible lottery every day for the rest of your life is infinitely more probable than the monkeys not writing Shakespeare

well, if you really have infinite number of monkeys, than any finite number can’t compete with it.

since i made the following text before i realized i misread your statement, i’ll leave it here anyway, to show how incredibly small the number in your lottery idea is.

i’ll make rough estimate, based on my mini country, that there is at least 1 lotteries per 1 million people, which would make it at least 8000 lotteries existing in the world. i think it is far more, but i will err on the side of caution in these estimates.

for winning a lottery, i will count not only the big win, but also shitty wins where you buy a ticket for a dollar and win two dollars. lets say your chance of winning “something” is 1/100.

and lets say you have 40 years to live.

your chance of winning every possible lottery in the world for the rest of your life (under the assumption that you can afford the original 8000 tickets) is

.

that’s number that has numeral one and then 233 million 600 thousand zeroes below the fraction line of the result 😜 to put that into context, it is estimated that the there are between 10^78 to 10^82 atoms in the observable universe.

what the fuck is so hard for most people to believe about the idea?

For me, it is a fact that such establishments are first and foremost matter of convenience, you go there because it is close to where you are at that moment and you expect to get fast food of dubious nutritional quality that is about the same (non)quality as in every other similar place. For fine dining worth prior research you go elsewhere than the McDonald’s.

You research reviews of McDonald where you are going to get burger? Really?

I am not going to watch 70 minutes movie, but according to brief skimming through the discussion it’s about business practice of the Microsoft from times of windows 3.11

I am talking about his today’s undeniable philantropic work and the fact is he is really far from the rest of the people on your list.

People are allowed to evolve and if every billionaire in the world would evolve I’m the same direction he did, world would be better place.

I could name 6 people by memory just by using the parameters "Rich asshole who would have no empathy for the general pub

You should find more about gates than the name

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bill_%26_Melinda_Gates_Foundation

The arrest

I don’t think that McDonald’s gives single fuck about review bombing

Except, that’s in the real world of physics. In this (…) scenario, x is infinite.

oh boy, no. if anything, it would be the other way around. in real world calculations, you can sometime approximate and still get reasonably precise result, or boundary, depending on your needs. not so in math.

hence the jokes like “for mathematician, pi as a pi. for physicist, pi is roughly 3,14, for civil engineer, pi is roughly 3.”

Thus the probability is 1.

it is not.

It doesn’t just approach infinite, it is infinite.

x is not infinite. x is a variable, that is to be substituted by specific number. infinity is not a number, it is a concept that express the fact that you explore how the function behaves when you are substituting bigger and bigger numbers. but none of these numbers are “infinity”. it is always specific number and the result never reaches the limit of the function. in this case, it is never 1, no matter how big number you substitute.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Limit_of_a_function

you do understand that these photos are from different place and different time, right?

the black backpack seems more like some shoulder duffel bag to me i assume it is from the hostel checkin. people don’t travel around the city with the same luggage they used for inter-city travel.

people also can have different clothes for different occasion, like putting on some light rain or wind-proof jacket. it can also be shitty compression from some shitty camera.

it is the same person ffs, look at his face, that nose could have passport of its own.

sure. 100% means something will happen every single time in the observed set. if something does not happen every single time, then it is not 100%.

this will not happen every single time. among all possible results, there will be results where none of the monkeys start any kind of shakespeare. there will be instances where every single work they start will be just the paper full of letter “a”. or something else than shakespeare. as you add monkeys (approach the infinity) the smaller such chancegets, until it gets extremely unlikely, but it is not going to be zero.

imagine you are throwing a 6 sided dice hundred times and i ask you - is it possible there will be no 6 among those one hundred throws?

anyone who passed some basic math understand it is indeed unlikely, but it is not impossible. if you keep throwing long enough, there will be cases with zero 6s in it.

probability of that happening is (5/6)^100, which is 1,2 x 10^-8, eg it will happen roughly 1,2 times in ten million cases. not likely, but not impossible.

in 1000 dice throws, the chance drops to (5/6)^1000, roughly 6,6 x 10^(-80), or 6,6 in 100 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 cases.

fun fact: the above number (1 with 80 zeros) is called One Hundred Quinvigintillion (had to google that indeed).

if you further increase the number of throws in the series, the chance of not having single 6 will be getting even smaller, but never zero.

or in other word, if you raise 5/6 to any positive number, the resulting number is always positive number.

https://www.wolframalpha.com/input?i=%285%2F6%29%5En

for further study, the relevant concept here is limit of the function

we say that limit of the above function is zero, which means it will approach the zero really close (infinitely close), but will never reach it.

it is by formal definition 100%.

it is not

And y approaches 1 when x approaches infinity, then y = 1 when x = infinite.

you weren’t paying attention in your calculus.

y is never 1, because x is never infinite. if you could reach the infinity, it wouldn’t be infinity.

for any n within the function’s domain: abs(value of y in n minus limit of y) is number bigger than zero. that is the definition of the limit. brush up on your definitions 😆

No, not how it works

This is guaranteed with infinite monkeys.

no, it is not. the chance of it happening will be really close to 100%, not 100% though. there is still small chance that all of the apes will start writing collected philosophical work of donald trump 😂

FFS, it’s one monkey and infinite years.

it is definitely not that long. we already had a monkey generating works of shakespeare. its name was shakespeare and it did not take longer than ~60 million years

can you link what you mean?

wtf are you talking about? they have multiple photos and it is obviously the same person

Not even sure if that’s the perpetrator.

they already know quite a lot, i find it highly unlikely they just released a photo of some random person in same clothes with same bag who just accidentally appeared in multiple places in close vicinity to the crime scene.

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/12/05/nyregion/brian-thompson-unitedhealthcare-news

the all country’s law enforcement was partially hyperbole, partially not. it already got a lot more manpower than average murder, the system has to protect itself here, because if this goes unpunished, other rich people might be next, and rich people are those who control the system. that is not a conspiracy, that is the way of life, as they say.

now this guy is clearly not a professional, so who is he? he is either someone with personal motive or someone really dedicated to making a social commentary.

if it is the former and he is someone whose close person died because of being denied coverage or something like that, that is a) the way to find him and b) it probably means he doesn’t have funds to go hide in his den indefinitely, because he would use such funds towards treatment of the person he is avenging.

if it is the latter, than who knows, but i personally think it is someone described in the last paragraph.

I just hope he doesn’t get caught.

he will get caught. they already have his photo, he is not professional hitman, he can only evade for so long when there is the whole country’s law enforcement after him.