I don’t see the government falling in less than a year. Maybe after 2, but probably longer unless something dramatic happens.
The NDP can’t afford to fight an election any time soon, they need a new leader and they need to re-energize their supporters.
The Bloc has a common cause with the federal government until the Trump threat is neutralized (and they’re even more angry about their sovereignty being actively threatened than most Canadians). And the housing program that Carney speaks about would benefit all provinces, including Quebec.
The Conservatives need to turf PP and replace him, which he will fight against. That’s going to take some time, and if Carney is doing a good job while they’re busy with that, it’ll be even harder for their new leader to credibly justify bringing down the government…
And finally, the public has no appetite for going back into an election unless Carney screws up badly. And any competent political strategist from any party should be able to recognize that.
As a progressive voter I do wonder about how the NDP will handle this. I also imagine the Bloc don’t want to dick around to much at the risk of what happened last time.
I’m frustrated to the point where I want the NDP to either merge with the Liberals or pledge to be a permanent coalition until electoral reform is passed, and they should make their support contingent on that making real progress.
True. We’ve only kicked the can down the road at best with this election, so this has been on my mind as more important than ever right now. But even if we get a good form of proportional representation, we can’t get complacent. We still have to win a war of ideas.
Prominent supporters of the CPC here in Canada want to implement a (faster!) DOGE-like process. It’s also very concerning that Labour in the UK (rough equivalent to our LPC) is slashing survival-necessary benefits for disabled young people, and their ascending Reform Company-that-runs-as-a-party is championing a Trump-style agenda. Australia’s Liberal party (rough equivalent to CPC) wanted to do the same, but luckily there’s been a backlash.
For now, Australia looks likely to follow what we did and re-elect their Labour party (LPC equivalent) as government. Soon, people in the US won’t be able to avoid the reality of a massive wave of layoffs starting at docks and the transportation sector and fanning its way out across supply chains (unless they can somehow miraculously head this off or their manufacturing sector proves more resilient). Maybe global opinion will change then, but there’s always the risk we’ll get even more of the same push we’ve had for decades upon decades from every major party: “Slashing taxes for the rich and cutting services didn’t work? Guess we have to do it even harder!”
It is going to be a minority government so I think an election sooner is likely.
I don’t see the government falling in less than a year. Maybe after 2, but probably longer unless something dramatic happens.
The NDP can’t afford to fight an election any time soon, they need a new leader and they need to re-energize their supporters.
The Bloc has a common cause with the federal government until the Trump threat is neutralized (and they’re even more angry about their sovereignty being actively threatened than most Canadians). And the housing program that Carney speaks about would benefit all provinces, including Quebec.
The Conservatives need to turf PP and replace him, which he will fight against. That’s going to take some time, and if Carney is doing a good job while they’re busy with that, it’ll be even harder for their new leader to credibly justify bringing down the government…
And finally, the public has no appetite for going back into an election unless Carney screws up badly. And any competent political strategist from any party should be able to recognize that.
As a progressive voter I do wonder about how the NDP will handle this. I also imagine the Bloc don’t want to dick around to much at the risk of what happened last time.
I’m frustrated to the point where I want the NDP to either merge with the Liberals or pledge to be a permanent coalition until electoral reform is passed, and they should make their support contingent on that making real progress.
I really hope they get the libs to pass electoral reform before dicking around
True. We’ve only kicked the can down the road at best with this election, so this has been on my mind as more important than ever right now. But even if we get a good form of proportional representation, we can’t get complacent. We still have to win a war of ideas.
Prominent supporters of the CPC here in Canada want to implement a (faster!) DOGE-like process. It’s also very concerning that Labour in the UK (rough equivalent to our LPC) is slashing survival-necessary benefits for disabled young people, and their ascending Reform Company-that-runs-as-a-party is championing a Trump-style agenda. Australia’s Liberal party (rough equivalent to CPC) wanted to do the same, but luckily there’s been a backlash.
For now, Australia looks likely to follow what we did and re-elect their Labour party (LPC equivalent) as government. Soon, people in the US won’t be able to avoid the reality of a massive wave of layoffs starting at docks and the transportation sector and fanning its way out across supply chains (unless they can somehow miraculously head this off or their manufacturing sector proves more resilient). Maybe global opinion will change then, but there’s always the risk we’ll get even more of the same push we’ve had for decades upon decades from every major party: “Slashing taxes for the rich and cutting services didn’t work? Guess we have to do it even harder!”