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Cake day: April 24th, 2024

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  • The missile knows where it is at all times. It knows this because it knows where it isn’t. By subtracting where it is from where it isn’t, or where it isn’t from where it is (whichever is greater), it obtains a difference, or deviation.

    The guidance subsystem uses deviations to generate corrective commands to drive the missile from a position where it is to a position where it isn’t, and arriving at a position where it wasn’t, it now is.

    Consequently, the position where it is, is now the position that it wasn’t, and it follows that the position that it was, is now the position that it isn’t. In the event that the position that it is in is not the position that it wasn’t, the system has acquired a variation, the variation being the difference between where the missile is, and where it wasn’t.

    If variation is considered to be a significant factor, it too may be corrected by the GEA. However, the missile must also know where it was.

    The missile guidance computer scenario works as follows. Because a variation has modified some of the information the missile has obtained, it is not sure just where it is. However, it is sure where it isn’t, within reason, and it knows where it was. It now subtracts where it should be from where it wasn’t, or vice-versa, and by differentiating this from the algebraic sum of where it shouldn’t be, and where it was, it is able to obtain the deviation and its variation, which is called error.





  • Oh good, you posted an updated version!

    I’ve seen people dismiss this as an old, out of date prediction from the 70s, unaware that… its been revisited and updated, and is tracking reality … scarily accurately, basically.

    (Recalibration23 is this paper, BAU is an older, but still fairly recent recalibration of the World3 model.)

    So basically, we, right now, are either at, very close to, or have already surpassed:

    Peak Industrial Output

    Peak Food Production

    Peak Human Population

    These things all rapidly decline, or collapse, starting basically now.

    HWI = Human Welfare Index.

    The average living human in 2035 will have a quality of life comparable to the average human in about 1965.

    Average human QoL in 2050 will be comparable to average human QoL during the Great Depression / WW2.

    … Good luck everybody! Have fun at work today!


  • Absurd levels of wealth disparity, beyond anything in recorded human history, breaking society and making a whole bunch of generally useful metrics now basically meaningless.

    Consumer debt levels skyrocketing.

    Housing/Rental prices still rising.

    Average college costs / debt still rising.

    Job growth isn’t keeping up with population growth.

    (Even after recovering from Covid, the Employment to Population ratio is still lower than what it was from 04 to 08. Its only 1% higher right now than it was at its lowest from the 08 crash, and its been headed downward since 23.)

    Trying to get a decent job without nepotism/networking is 5x harder than working a decent job due to completely insane requirements and ghost jobs… and nepotism.

    And real median income is basically flat since 2020, not rising by much at all.

    Your headline econ inflation stat does a neat job of not really reflecting the reality of what a common person’s budget looks like.



  • Currently taking a sabbatical from giving a shit about anything.

    Got assaulted, seriously injured, car got stolen, lost my job working at a non profit helping the homeless, became homeless, spent a year that way, racked up a whole bunch more injuries.

    Managed to qualify for SSDI, got on a bus, rode halfway across the country in horrible agony to find a shithole I can afford to rent, with just the clothes I had on me.

    Its been about a year now, doing my own physical therapy, slowly recovering.

    Can’t afford actual physical therapy, couldn’t get to it anyway.

    Maybe sometime next year I’ll be able to get my glasses replaced.

    Maybe if I get to the point I can walk or use my wrist for more than 10 minutes at a time I’ll look into some kind of remote work… or just make a video game or something.

    How do I deal with it?

    Just keep living, one day at a time.


  • Here’s the quote, for people allergic to reading the update in the article.

    Update: Nvidia sent us a statement: “We are aware of a reported performance issue related to Game Filters and are actively looking into it. You can turn off Game Filters from the NVIDIA App Settings > Features > Overlay > Game Filters and Photo Mode, and then relaunch your game.”

    We have tested this and confirmed that disabling the Game Filters and Photo Mode does indeed work. The problem appears to stem from the filters causing a performance loss, even when they’re not being actively used. (With GeForce Experience, if you didn’t have any game filters enabled, it didn’t affect performance.) So, if you’re only after the video capture features or game optimizations offered by the Nvidia App, you can get ‘normal’ performance by disabling the filters and photo modes.

    So, TomsHW (is at least claiming that they) did indeed test this, and found that its the filters and photo mode causing the performance hit.

    Still a pretty stupid problem to have, considering the old filters did not cause this problem, but at least there’s a workaround.

    … I’m curious if this new settings app even exists, or has been tested on linux.



  • The even shorter, more direct version is:

    ‘Local community’ actually means ‘Official representatives of the local community.’

    EDIT: And ‘great relationship’ means ‘we do business with whatever entity regularly, and that business we do is more advantageous to us than it is to them’.

    … Also… I’m in America so… maybe this is somehow different in various Euro countries, but I seriously doubt it…

    There’s no way Amazon invests in local roads.

    I’m from Seattle.

    Our roads are absolute ass, I’m talking worse than the average road in a small town in South Dakota or Montana.

    They certainly don’t directly fund any roadwork around Seattle, despite having many logistics hubs in and near the city.

    They’re more likely to strong arm a city, even literally sue them, into upgrading their roads than they are to… like directly contribute some share of their revenue or profit directly into the city’s road maintenance or construction budget.

    0 chance Amazon directly funds building of any roads beyond the roads on their property.

    Provide computers to schools? Sure, I believe that.

    But I am highly doubtful that Amazon directly contributes to building local roads.

    Only way I can even see that kind of making sense in a roundabout way is if the city has some kind of specific tax on heavier vehicles or vehicles used in delivery/logistics…

    In which case … this would apply to any delivery/logistics vehicle of any kind that either transits through or is based out of the city.

    By that logic anyone that pays a sales tax or property tax in the city pays for new roads, likely significantly more, as a group.



  • “Amazon wont pay a living wage due to its great relationship with the local community”.

    So, taken by a normal person, not aquainted with corpo speak… that is some astounding anti-logic.

    But if you know a bit of corpo, what that actually means is something like:

    We have the local city government by the balls, greatly overexagerated the economic benefit our warehouse would bring to the city, got them to subsidize our construction costs, relax zoning laws or fees, change tax laws or give us a special carve out so that we pay less than if anyone else tried to build a warehouse here…

    … and now if the city gov goes for policies/laws we don’t like, we’ll just shut down this location, I’ll go work the same job somewhere else, everyone else is unemployed, and then we’ll tell the media that’s because of the city government, and they’ll likely lose their elected positions.







  • Other people have already pointed out that your conception of shotgun spread is essentially based in video games, where the spread is (in all but basically milsim games) greatly exaggerated.

    You’ve countered that drones can fly higher than an actual shotgun range.

    Yep. They can.

    … Did you read the article I posted?

    Shotguns are being used fairly commonly by both sides.

    It doesn’t matter what you or I think about how practical or useful they are…

    The people fighting the war think they are practical and useful.

    Nonetheless, here’s my attempt to explain the popularity of shotguns in Ukraine as anti drone weapons:

    This is not a solution geared toward being able to shoot down any drone, of any size or capability, at any range, at any altitude.

    Obviously a shotgun is not going to be able to shootdown a greyhawk or reaper style drone.

    Most of the small FPV drones that attack infantry or ground vehicles do so by basically either dropping a bomb or grenade or mortar round from maybe 25 to 150 feet in the air…

    Or just being rigged with some kind of an explosive to explode on contact or via a remote trigger.

    (Also, these cheap FPV drones do not really handle altitudes above roughly 150 ft that well (though this will vary by exact model). Unless its a dead calm day, gusts of wind easily blow them around, draining its limited batteries as it tries to keep its position steady, severly shortening the drone’s range.)

    These kinds of drones are extremely cheap, plentiful, and effective against infantry and many ground vehicles…

    When it comes to these kinds of drones, shotguns are also extremely cheap and plentiful, and practical self defense weapons.

    Shotguns are more useful against these kinds of FPV drones than an average assault rifle, due to the spread of shot.

    They are way, way more cost effective than using a tunguska or gephard or some kind of MANPADS platform designed to shoot down jet aircraft.

    Shotguns are also just more numerous, and don’t require specialized training/equipment like a dedicated AA platform or EM jamming and all the equipment that entails.

    You can just give a few out to every squad or vehicle crew, and thats way, waaay better than just hoping you’re operating near enough to an expensive friendly AA platform that exists in far more limited numbers, or being SOL if you’re not.

    Further, a shotgun is also just useful as a general combat weapon.

    Sure, buckshot has limited range, but sometimes fights occur within tight conditions… namely trenches or an urban environment.

    Also slug rounds exist and can give you more range than buck or birdshot.

    Also you can use door breacher rounds, or slugs in a pinch, to blow apart door hinges and locks.