Read the article, it is much more nuanced than the title suggests.
Complying with the terms of the agreements they worked out with the US clearly did "nothing* for them, so why would they give a shit about anything that the US government says now? After all, Trump was handed a pandemic playbook that he wiped his ass with. Get ready for bird flu and bleach shots. https://www.pbs.org/newshour/nation/obama-team-left-pandemic-playbook-for-trump-administration-officials-confirm
The guy clearly is intelligent, but there’s one sentence that he probably knows is bull crap, which is that Israel did a ceasefire in Lebanon because it wants to focus on a full blown war with Iran. Chances are Israel probably wants to buddy up with Saudi Arabia and others against Iran, and while Gaza was already a sore spot, Lebanon was probably a big no no when it comes to establishing relations.
I can’t imagine a full-scale war with Iran would end in Israeli victory. Iran’s population is 10 times that of Israel’s. It’s mountainous too. They don’t share a border. There’s no way Israel could do any sort of significant ground invasion even if the IDF wasn’t already stretched thin fighting on multiple fronts.
I’m not saying Iran would be the big “winner.” I’m saying no one would win. Both countries would probably just indiscriminately bomb the shit out of each other and everyone — especially civilians — would be worse off after.
Thats why Israel would like the US to fight the war for it and then get to reap in the gains.
Now hush little American boys! Go die not even for your own corrupt leaders but for other countries corrupt leaders!
I don’t see how they’d manufacture consent domestically for an Iran invasion after the Iraq war, even if Iran is trying to develop nuclear weapons. People alive have watched North Korea develop nukes and nothing has changed much as a result.
What would even Israel gain from attacking Iran? I feel like it’s an unlikely scenario.
If they could somehow topple Iran’s regime they would then have removed the main party funding Hezbollah, Hamas, Assad, and the Houthis. That would benefit Israel’s security immensely
Iran is the primary arms supplier of Hezbollah. The Lebanon ceasefire almost certainly got signed off by Iran. They do not have full control over Hezbollah, but they have a large say.
